Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fdbb9397128c1c79d5f652b981a7be12cb2d1499d0b563195b82ba0f204b87b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 17c | 13,111$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.87 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 68c | 1,766$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.09 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 31c | 1,500$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 17c | 1,308$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.31 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Over | 37c | 273.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 74c | 199.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under | 79c | 181$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Under | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 37c | 129.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e0…ba63backed Over | 10c | 126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Over | 34c | 116.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Over | 21c | 106.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 21c | 76.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 38c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 39.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 44c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 76c | 33.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 78c | 30.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 77c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Under | 64c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 3?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 4?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.