TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a37…1059

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Weather, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT6339.7%25 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$32.54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+86%+$29.91
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+302.1%+$45.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+128%+$101.56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$22.34
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+444.4%+$75.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.63
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$15.97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$24.82
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.86
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.44
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.69
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.17
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.24
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+204%+$22.43
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.33
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$205.12
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.4%+$28.35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$86.52
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+214.3%+$75
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$23.16
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$93.1
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$19.2
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+176.5%+$86.49
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.65
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.24
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+257.1%+$102.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.