TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Jazz, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,486,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,486,263 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Jazz11c180,872$19,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,178.1343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz33c152,909$50,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,056.2636549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers66c53,791$35,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,28966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers69c42,860$29,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,171.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Jazz7c34,964$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers77c26,230$20,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,927.531,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Jazz10c19,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.859018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Trail Blazers69c19,945$13,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,213.1126353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers70c19,397$13,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,828.011,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz9c19,203$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.411,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Jazz10c14,934$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.973946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz10c13,332$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Jazz11c12,173$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3399330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Jazz11c12,000$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.483259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers71c11,621$8,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.71,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers71c11,297$8,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.653,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Jazz11c11,216$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c11,165$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.048820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Jazz11c10,608$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.35444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz11c10,057$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.7140035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Jazz11c9,500$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0453847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jazz10c8,151$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.0724841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz11c8,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Jazz18c7,352$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.0717436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz12c7,142$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Jazz6c7,100$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3957412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Jazz11c6,255$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6888429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Jazz16c6,103$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Jazz10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6f…cbcdbacked Jazz11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz11c4,781$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.91,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers74c4,299$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb4…bc50backed Jazz10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Jazz11c3,800$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4184940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Jazz26c3,791$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99962652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz27c3,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Trail Blazers72c3,602$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Jazz9c3,438$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.111225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffe…33a3backed Jazz15c3,247$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ecb…ce31backed Jazz15c3,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb642…056cbacked Jazz11c3,200$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Jazz5c3,150$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.511940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jazz12c3,145$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.2316440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x943c…e425backed Jazz15c3,036$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Jazz14c2,989$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.12123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Jazz24c2,987$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.929026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Jazz35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz11c2,809$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.071,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Jazz16c2,680$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.635928.8%17 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Jazz19c2,673$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Trail Blazers75c2,665$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.8631453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Jazz18c2,598$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.67018.6%13 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e04…991cbacked Jazz10c2,590$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.46616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-44.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa74…2e13backed Jazz15c2,551$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz25c2,526$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27548938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Trail Blazers74c2,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64514244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Jazz15c2,479$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3719343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Jazz11c2,475$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337b…0503backed Jazz10c2,405$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.471533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jazz9c2,349$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4319147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Jazz9c2,344$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c2,312$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.137211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Jazz11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Jazz21c2,265$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3342335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Jazz12c2,103$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547518.7%14 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Jazz16c2,082$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.632744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Jazz1c2,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Jazz10c1,964$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Jazz10c1,941$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Jazz11c1,919$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1216635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Jazz11c1,909$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9962539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jazz16c1,836$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Jazz12c1,750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd854…ab8abacked Jazz10c1,749$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.424637%17 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Jazz32c1,739$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.349250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Trail Blazers72c1,562$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Jazz4c1,555$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf371…da1abacked Jazz9c1,554$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.821010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed Jazz27c1,550$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.177051.4%36 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Jazz24c1,478$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Jazz1c1,450$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69de…5106backed Jazz10c1,435$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz21c1,394$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Jazz11c1,381$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9111229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Jazz10c1,377$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4733139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Jazz11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Jazz8c1,363$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Jazz10c1,300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Jazz16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f0…f684backed Jazz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked Trail Blazers78c1,243$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…9fd4backed Jazz11c1,231$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.411816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Jazz38c1,211$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4607440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Jazz1c1,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Jazz18c1,192$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2533632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.