NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0861f36af4bcbae43df22113aaddcbd2ba2acc5a7b687676631e298a654a933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,060 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 33,916$17,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,279.72 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 52c | 20,777$10,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,972.83 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 17,709$8,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,509.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 48c | 8,300$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…14e0backed Under | 48c | 5,717$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 2,560$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 1,752$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 1,345$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 603.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 12c | 340.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 251.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 198.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 43c | 191.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 53c | 179.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 155.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 10c | 109.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 105.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 53c | 82.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…bad7backed Over | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 54.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 51c | 53.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.