NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264a0e1117c31d06a418794fe2a5bca777f804a11bc6c4f0ab0f8238d0906b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Jazz, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,654 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 16c | 1,297$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Jazz | 17c | 885.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 38c | 845.41$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 569.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Jazz | 25c | 445.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jazz | 57c | 293.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jazz | 64c | 193$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 77c | 155.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Jazz | 21c | 100.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Jazz | 21c | 95.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Jazz | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Jazz | 74c | 80.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Jazz | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 42.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 42.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Jazz | 58c | 40.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…d556backed Trail Blazers | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…a7c1backed Jazz | 33c | 35.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Jazz | 37c | 32.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.36per pick | 41cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Trail Blazers | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.