NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8609e316df82870dd3642fc5bf66feeef9fbd8f67e8e0b24d93903978f9bb30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Trail Blazers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 54c | 11,283$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 9,851$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.46 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,872$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.8 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 41c | 2,284$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jazz | 55c | 1,194$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.02 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Jazz | 39c | 663.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.67 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 63c | 652.62$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 547.01$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz | 41c | 459.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 49c | 410.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz | 40c | 359.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 56c | 354.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz | 57c | 341.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 282$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jazz | 69c | 280$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 249.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 232.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 46c | 196.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Jazz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 178.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Jazz | 57c | 170.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 150.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Jazz | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 131.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 126.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Jazz | 39c | 126.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz | 59c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 123.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Jazz | 39c | 122.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 117.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jazz | 67c | 112.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 107.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Jazz | 42c | 103.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Jazz | 63c | 96.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz | 49c | 80.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 74.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Jazz | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Jazz | 42c | 58.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 58.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 58c | 58.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jazz | 48c | 57.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Jazz | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Jazz | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Jazz | 67c | 41.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jazz | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 39c | 35.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 34.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Jazz | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Jazz | 52c | 32.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Jazz | 45c | 32.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Jazz | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Jazz | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 25.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Jazz | 43c | 23.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…80adbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.