TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,432 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under52c91,321$47,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,481.498944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c19,068$9,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,927.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over48c14,560$6,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over49c12,280$6,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,262.965750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,72058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c10,833$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.3348546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6716640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xad84…1f2bbacked Over49c5,883$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over48c5,442$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over48c5,417$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.6718349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under52c3,260$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.214245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c3,059$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.224,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c1,647$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.7421653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Under52c1,144$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,117$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,063$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over48c835.42$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c813$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.762,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c778$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.561,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c717.84$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.11,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c700$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.253,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c695.8$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c617.72$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.221,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.161,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28630641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28610940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c443$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.12,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under28c364.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.921,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c351.48$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c279.14$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.121,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under23c277.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c266$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over48c211.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under51c198$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9823946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c146.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.551,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over53c122.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.84949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c110.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.612,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under52c104$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0828243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Over55c104$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.585650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9925559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c79.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over49c77.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under47c74.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c63.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c61.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Over49c61.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.746946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over52c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.794751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over54c59.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over48c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.123250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c55.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…9664backed Under52c51.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Over54c46.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3832654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under25c41.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Under49c40.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c38.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.452552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7412661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2423453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.216852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over48c33.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.526850%34 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4932148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c5…fcd4backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c29.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1746447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.318459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Under48c26.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa642…c94dbacked Over54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a1…4cf7backed Over48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over47c23.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1346255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over49c22.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5825651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7556454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…eba1backed Over77c15.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.