TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,711 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under52c61,265$31,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,852.388944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under56c44,376$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c31,406$14,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,359.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over46c16,064$7,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,595.1548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c12,450$5,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,47431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2148…3f30backed Over48c9,375$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8751275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac4a…4a47backed Under55c9,309$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcd…50f1backed Over48c9,281$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over48c6,667$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.671,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1f2bbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over48c4,608$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.1232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Under53c4,411$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.835044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ef…3cd6backed Over50c4,352$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1764100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c4,118$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.651,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c3,938$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d7…5ffabacked Under49c3,921$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8698…e4a2backed Over51c3,921$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over48c3,835$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c3,657$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over48c3,535$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.423240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c2,510$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over47c2,498$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.618444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c2,304$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.0619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under54c2,090$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.291,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb614…4be4backed Under50c1,821$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c1,707$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4883…c1a6backed Under50c1,675$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,563$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.9650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,291$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.393,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4918349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c1,020$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4730…a4c2backed Under50c856$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Under71c830.61$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.132853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c775.48$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb14e…14f8backed Over48c775$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under54c754.51$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051f…efd3backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over47c532.15$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1535849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Under44c531.12$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.41219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under23c510.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Over48c457.67$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.993441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5319045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over51c423.96$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5454549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa372…40ebbacked Under50c404.64$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1d…e1b8backed Over51c400.41$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under31c388$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.282,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c360.36$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c317.68$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb417…06dcbacked Over66c308.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.03955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under69c286.08$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.511,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c279.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c278.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Over47c276$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.118251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over43c275.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7522140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over48c271.62$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.461,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over48c226.08$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5652246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over47c210.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6621748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under49c208.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3943543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over40c202.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c191.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c189.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over67c185.54$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2318850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Under36c172.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c156.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…ec19backed Over56c152.29$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2913748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over66c152.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over62c145.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.631,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under29c140.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4111826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c128.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c128.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over51c122.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.264949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2919166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under40c110.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.461,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over52c108.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c107$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Over48c103.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Over72c98.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.918332.5%27 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under44c97.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over56c94.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Under53c90.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over45c89.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under61c88.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over51c85.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.941,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Under41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb351…5f41backed Under55c85.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.912250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over34c80.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8645445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.