TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…bf16backed Over48c160,422$76,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,447.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c96,488$50,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,660.254,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under52c28,422$14,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,779.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over47c26,622$12,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,109.4235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c19,366$10,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,073.4269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c14,268$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,504.5690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c2…722ebacked Under52c11,538$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under52c10,887$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6615149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c8,750$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,55020449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c6,382$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.6520054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c4,520$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.573,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Under55c4,484$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c3,569$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.812,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c3,001$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.3630446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5307353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c2,897$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.3111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c2,807$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c2,575$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.3726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over62c2,541$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.165343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6005927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over46c2,391$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.341070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+74.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under51c2,101$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.5521957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c2,078$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.2620159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under43c1,839$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over65c1,800$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6392454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under30c1,583$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.231,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over39c1,408$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.843327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over64c1,076$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.413154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under53c1,047$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55516446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Under17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c970.69$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.011,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over48c832.19$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.745940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over27c779.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over32c650$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44220945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under77c628$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31215851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3843531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over47c574.47$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.479564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under19c521.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27031745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over49c495$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.453545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6084backed Over48c414.58$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.084663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20611154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under18c359.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15319750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15331751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over47c201$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.532941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.531,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over72c192.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.023053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c187.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under53c181.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.185644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under52c179.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.214235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c171.44$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4434050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under53c159.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c141$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c134.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.979748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over46c130.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed Over39c127$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under53c120.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.542653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.219352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.220250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.219951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.220949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.219053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under51c119.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.220652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over49c101.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.945349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5219237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over49c99.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over53c97.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over49c90.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.955855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.467553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under55c71.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Over39c64.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over77c62.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.