La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1392aca783dfaba94656888c585431843ccdfec0721a7a4573a8f141f4783dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rayo Vallecano de Madridof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 48c | 4,158$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 2,598$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 47c | 2,077$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.28 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 69c | 1,633$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 51c | 739.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…c6b6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 44c | 550.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 57c | 523.24$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 6c | 497.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.27 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…2d53backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7c | 381$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 46c | 333.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 56c | 250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…c7f1backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 8c | 238$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 20c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 51c | 106.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 58c | 86.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 48c | 64.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 45c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 53c | 57.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 47c | 57.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 55c | 31.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 49c | 24.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 44c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.