TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c3,829$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.344,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under51c3,087$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c2,308$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.0450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over15c1,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.855927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over36c1,592$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5664942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c1,585$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.083,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under50c1,406$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over51c886.52$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4563764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under49c885.7$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.293467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c866.07$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.651,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under55c776.07$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.112548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over40c745$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.845145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under71c706.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.583737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over49c650$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under73c641.49$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over26c635.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c601.69$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.761,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over50c500.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over38c425.07$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.352646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over47c423.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.515547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c422.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over49c390.18$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.193638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over52c387.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over9c375$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over50c300.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8421355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over27c248.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over43c233.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under52c227.12$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.122445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over48c190.29$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Under79c190$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over51c172.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over38c168.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef8…fb10backed Over48c154.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c150.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9919344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over51c149.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7614850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over32c126.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4334050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5915451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x001a…5effbacked Under72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over44c100.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.14358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Under66c91.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under76c85.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over32c84.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.262969%20 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under61c75.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6506…a04bbacked Under58c68.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.42757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under75c66.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6632145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under75c62.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1638748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over45c52.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4810634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over31c51.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.823046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c2…8a33backed Over41c46.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under64c41.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc8c…8293backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under50c36.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over44c34.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0511046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Under54c33.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.272951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Under54c29.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under72c28.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d1…5557backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under76c20.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.935846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under75c14.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.629570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.