TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c11,229$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.344,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c7,884$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.953,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over74c6,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.892166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c5,180$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.262,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over74c4,055$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.34465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2493…d529backed Over74c1,721$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over74c1,624$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9711444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over73c1,539$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5813263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9750…0969backed Over74c1,355$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under24c1,250$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7410329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under27c1,084$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over74c563.18$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.433164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over54c553.7$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.72277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over71c499.95$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9831745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over51c478$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2220945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over73c420$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over74c359.68$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.353764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f64…452abacked Over75c331.51$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb623…47a1backed Over71c280$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e90…1c09backed Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over70c228.77$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over64c228.4$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.44768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b79…4f89backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under27c185.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over70c151.24$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d23…6c83backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over52c135.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1234050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.48170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over55c116$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over78c103.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.013577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over73c100.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3019153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281225%3 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-54.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under33c91.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under26c85.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.211,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under27c69.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.655855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6596…b50bbacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over59c60.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3961657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed Over70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Over73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1818551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under30c52.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8428446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.519751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Under27c49.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over74c47.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.533053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8610155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over62c40.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.457252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Under37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.414259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1218852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa793…1776backed Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+88.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec6…9054backed Over64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8651…2465backed Over73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c30.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2317044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over54c30.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.233046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2548…b742backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2823…eb3dbacked Over75c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6512100%12 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2619…b17fbacked Over65c29.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42560%15 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6688…fdcebacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5545…4fc5backed Over73c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0322366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over74c26.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.969071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Over74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.