La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba81b97f5596ec8db43da5528de541c9b45613d85f2ef46d9fa028376d1ebba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rayo Vallecano de Madridof Club Atlético de Madrid, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 76c | 11,750$8,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 4,719$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.88 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 3,135$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.76 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 3,005$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…29ffbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 3,003$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…2c80backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 2,998$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 71c | 2,710$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…acb1backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 2,452$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…c3c6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 2,444$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 71c | 2,006$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.63 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 1,401$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 1,249$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.98 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 842.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 806.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…2ecfbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 581.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +481.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 69c | 554.45$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 517.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 6c | 436.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 345.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 336$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…1389backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 295.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 294.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 276.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 176.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 71c | 100.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 11c | 92.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 83.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…db3dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…984dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 56.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 52.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 52.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 72c | 31.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 78c | 27.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…035cbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 73c | 21.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…418bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 73c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…64f4backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 73c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.