TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8bb…d88f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35%+$17.48
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.9%+$40.95
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
SD Eibar vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$19.22
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$11.61
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+97.6%+$97.65
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.8%+$19.68
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.51
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.95
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39.5%+$23.72
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$35
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-72.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$54
Beijing Ducks vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Chicago Fire FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+400%+$200
VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$33.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.7%+$62.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$46.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.