Europa Conference League · resolved market
Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7b11a15c438eafd8e6966c04b8de1df75e70f76dfc4aa3dfa8ddcb62d07ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 62c | 9,679$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.93 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,461$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 50c | 3,938$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 42c | 2,382$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.56 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Under | 40c | 1,346$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.3 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 1,197$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 1,189$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.39 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,153$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.51 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 976.87$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 39c | 868.4$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.68 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 50c | 795$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 38c | 789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 780.45$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 769$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.41 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 40c | 531.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 58c | 514.76$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 40c | 489.57$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 424$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 399.27$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 64c | 373.02$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 56c | 350.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 347.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 283.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 38c | 282.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 61c | 279$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 50c | 266.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 38c | 237.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 225.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 220.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 219.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 66c | 218.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 52c | 211.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 30c | 193.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 162.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 158.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 158.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.31 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 124.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 41c | 116.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 62c | 96.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 90.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 56c | 85.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 56c | 76.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 65.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 55c | 62.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 48.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 46.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 39c | 43.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…5396backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 44c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 36.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 66c | 33.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 64c | 26.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5this page
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 1.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 3.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 4.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 5.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: SK Dila Gori O/U 0.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Team to AdvanceApóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-1.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-2.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.