Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcab81a3b1e27e57298fb96e84a0be84e296e989e340084ef3d6b8ffe038318bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Apóllon Lemesoúof Apóllon Lemesoú, SK Dila Gori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Apóllon Lemesoú | 32c | 1,948$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.15 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Dila Gori | 67c | 1,452$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Apóllon Lemesoú | 30c | 1,241$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.46 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SK Dila Gori | 69c | 543$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.67 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed SK Dila Gori | 72c | 344.34$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.91 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed SK Dila Gori | 68c | 222.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Dila Gori | 70c | 183.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Apóllon Lemesoú | 32c | 179.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SK Dila Gori | 68c | 119.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked SK Dila Gori | 69c | 86.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed SK Dila Gori | 68c | 69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed SK Dila Gori | 69c | 65.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SK Dila Gori | 69c | 65.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked SK Dila Gori | 65c | 64.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed SK Dila Gori | 69c | 61.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Apóllon Lemesoú | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Dila Gori | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed SK Dila Gori | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Dila Gori | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed SK Dila Gori | 71c | 34.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed SK Dila Gori | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed SK Dila Gori | 66c | 18.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-2.5)this page
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 1.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 3.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 4.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 5.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: SK Dila Gori O/U 0.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Team to AdvanceApóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-1.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.