Europa Conference League · resolved market
Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32bae549adf2ea2285eb752e2c686d9da4c36c3ea33d20ccd465ac2cde0979ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,546$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 25c | 2,296$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.17 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 1,661$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 37c | 1,491$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.71 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,207$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 67c | 882.99$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.33 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 77c | 706.12$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 63c | 705.43$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.03 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 599.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 594.3$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 462.57$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 440$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 390.49$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 334.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 78c | 252.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 50c | 201.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 171.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 170.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 149.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 148.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 147.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Over | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 79c | 103.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 27c | 94.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 89.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 38c | 74.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 38c | 73.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 75c | 58.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 58.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 72c | 55.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Under | 20c | 53.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 50.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Under | 33c | 42.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 63c | 25.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…f231backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 77c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 3.5this page
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 1.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 2.5Over won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 4.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 5.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: SK Dila Gori O/U 0.5Under won
- Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: Team to AdvanceApóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-1.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-2.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.