South American Leagues · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d9e08859de758a19d3044a41ffb24757b6a7739c2573a1448a0efc302cd779e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 874.61$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 735.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.48 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 724.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 545.81$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 68c | 293.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 28c | 228.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 66c | 170.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…96eabacked Under | 34c | 157.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…eecabacked Under | 36c | 137.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 33c | 133.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 66c | 125.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 64c | 115.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 22c | 96.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Under | 44c | 91.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…f745backed Over | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 29c | 58.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 30c | 57.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…b17fbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…cd3abacked Over | 31c | 48.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4f02backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 35c | 41.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 72c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Under | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 47c | 24.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 56c | 22.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.