Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9ff7912d3db344e1a015f34eb805be74f3e5e208314c0ffbf9bffa9552f205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,839$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 79c | 1,520$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b4…827fbacked Over | 80c | 1,128$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 24c | 856.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 26c | 823.23$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 639.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 79c | 566.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 20c | 529.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 419.61$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 21c | 337$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 22c | 218$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 73c | 77.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 77c | 68.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…ddbcbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.