Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5f861da382969a4d4dda950d2901c20255b412ac9cf594584f8928ffa93b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 3,682$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Over | 27c | 2,838$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 1,737$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.27 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 69c | 697.37$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.1 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Over | 41c | 482.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 33c | 448.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 391.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 29c | 310$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 67c | 297.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 80c | 268$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 65c | 236.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 28c | 201.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 32c | 165$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 68c | 146.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 67c | 133.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 32c | 117$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 32c | 94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 89.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…2c5ebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 69c | 72.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 30c | 66.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 69c | 65.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Over | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Over | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 68c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…01fdbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Under | 68c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 39.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 69cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Under | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Under | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…e999backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Under | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 65c | 26.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 68c | 14.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.