Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316619e83612ae94d0b0b18bbb8ded25fa5326121183ccfd8a6e79f0479b0db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0900…3e1dbacked Over | 54c | 10,700$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…9b1abacked Under | 46c | 10,700$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 47c | 5,964$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 49c | 5,355$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 75c | 4,616$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,730$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 1,555$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.2 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 47c | 655.86$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…8191backed Over | 77c | 558$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Over | 77c | 517.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 490.91$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.13 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 45c | 313.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…d211backed Under | 46c | 258.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 51c | 214.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 46c | 181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 54c | 145.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 124.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Over | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 78c | 99.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Over | 55c | 89.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Over | 53c | 85.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 82.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 48c | 82.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 75.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 25c | 66.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5466…30d6backed Over | 55c | 62.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…8417backed Under | 47c | 56.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 77c | 46.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…90a3backed Under | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 75c | 41.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 47c | 38.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…f7bfbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…a6fabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…e52bbacked Over | 51c | 36.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…0bf3backed Over | 55c | 34.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 54c | 33.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 78c | 32.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 47c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 43c | 24.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…776bbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 62c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.