Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab825d06d6285475a94e3c9115b2103500818bcbe1477ffa99aaef18ef94ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 60c | 3,344$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.88 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 2,098$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.06 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,314$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 42c | 1,269$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 796$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.91 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 573.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 60c | 294.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 230$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 49c | 120.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +79%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 89.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 61c | 81.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 79.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 59c | 49.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked No | 43c | 41.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +110%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 41c | 36.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 59c | 32.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Yes | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.