Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4d852a012a9adfec7ed9245a41b3674fc4f15275b263f653c96f7d91f2cf1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 79c | 2,528$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 2,140$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,620$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.08 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 19c | 1,540$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 801.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 768$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 31c | 501.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 118.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 75c | 110.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 23c | 106.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 80c | 102.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 87.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 75c | 79.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 20c | 61.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 79c | 41.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 73c | 37.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 80c | 25.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.