Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4107fb8fa24687594fe42c68adbcfebf1f0848503bec393d5a5b88351520d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 74c | 3,400$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 72c | 2,800$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,782$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 1,242$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.68 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 35c | 863.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 66c | 755.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 70c | 733.2$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 33c | 608.39$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 558.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 32c | 496.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 457.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 302.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 23c | 280$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 240.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 31c | 232.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 65c | 203$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 32c | 189$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 182$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…8e4abacked Under | 77c | 156.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 70c | 141.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…ef21backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 74c | 134.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 57c | 111.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 48c | 92.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 63c | 82.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 35c | 80.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 32c | 78.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 35c | 71.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 69.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Under | 70c | 67.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 15c | 65.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 52.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 50c | 51.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Under | 63c | 47.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 53c | 47.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 33c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Over | 42c | 35.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…627abacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 65c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 78c | 27.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 51c | 20.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…2988backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.