Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c38feb688c1f9e500eed982bced7cccc98c5ee5e4ffa5f2154208a79dba911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 1c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 2cpaid | +1,048.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 3c | 1,399$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 55c | 891.98$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.39 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…3fffbacked No | 49c | 614.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 467.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 15c | 426.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 55c | 349.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +380%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 9cpaid | +454.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +275%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 272.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 254.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 233.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 75c | 189.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 53c | 113.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 65c | 111.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 49c | 103.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…627abacked Yes | 55c | 92.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 91.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 76.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 64.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a04bbacked No | 34c | 59.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 55c | 51.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 47c | 49.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes | 70c | 47.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 42c | 41.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 63c | 37.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 43c | 34.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed No | 47c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 44c | 31.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 46c | 31.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Yes | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Yes | 58c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 47c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.