TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over57c82,191$46,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,478.212450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over57c34,087$19,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,657.2919549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,600633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c27,585$11,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,861.434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c22,895$10,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,794.022,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c22,463$9,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,867.241,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over59c5,049$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.336744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c4,588$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.7840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c4,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c3,732$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.4998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6203948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under46c2,180$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.774748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c1,999$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.6893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Under1c1,742$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.427231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c1,181$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…fb61backed Under47c1,054$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over63c1,016$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.812259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over56c783.86$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under6c701.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.23175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under45c668.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c649.87$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9416842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c525.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.531926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over54c509.55$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under41c508.34$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Over57c501.6$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under44c499.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under47c480$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.670%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under6c451.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.68757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under54c415.46$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under35c411.52$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under61c393.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c320.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under45c300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c272.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1056768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.284447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c232.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9518…97e1backed Under42c216.13$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c182.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over54c175.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.799937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Over59c173.43$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over64c172.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0111856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under13c170$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.49240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over65c153.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.831776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under37c149.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbc…3fe1backed Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under45c137.28$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.533243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over57c131.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over50c128.94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over45c128.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8911955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over54c127.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.783246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201b…9146backed Over59c126.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over47c106.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.492055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.266241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over54c92.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over58c90.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.24252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over74c90.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0114553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.67064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Over57c87.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over70c82.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9711161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.846047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x717f…1501backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over62c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.052142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c66.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.714242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c60.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under49c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.692045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdec…7ad6backed Over59c59.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.