Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x187d20a1bbdd08eb99f07d113544da25ae83648cfa8bd3e95e19b4dbf959dfac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,202 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 74c | 7,344$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,979$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 3,473$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 2,880$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Over | 56c | 1,442$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 27c | 765.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 614.07$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…1dd3backed Over | 73c | 567.14$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Over | 78c | 511.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 51cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 12c | 434.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 406.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Under | 45c | 394.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 71c | 281$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 38c | 275.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 14c | 248.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 190.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 26c | 189.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Under | 44c | 165.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 165.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 53c | 129.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 26c | 127.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 112.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 29c | 87.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Over | 35c | 72.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 49.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 55c | 45.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 39.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 46c | 37.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Under | 66c | 34.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 79c | 24.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 23.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…56f9backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 68c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Over | 69c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 58c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.