NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Lakers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd98dd4fa5a64f8a8dde471b1e4d5115e143b596a3384311ca7eb703dbca4dee

Rebuilt 36 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Wizards, Lakers
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,773,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,785,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,773,447 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x69a0…cec6backed Wizards	8c	473,705$37,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,896.41	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	5c	37,602$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,944.25	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Wizards	3c	33,812$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.34	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wizards	8c	26,254$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.35	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Wizards	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards	8c	20,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	8c	14,076$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147.35	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0287…8a29backed Wizards	7c	13,118$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.24	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	8c	13,043$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.5	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards	3c	12,247$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.8	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Wizards	10c	12,152$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.93	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	1c	11,984$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.17	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	8c	11,018$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.2	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	8c	10,300$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.01	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x740e…8bfbbacked Wizards	1c	10,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	35cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Wizards	8c	9,989$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.1	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	8c	9,060$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.98	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914d…9df5backed Wizards	7c	9,000$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	7c	8,899$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.91	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards	2c	8,864$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.43	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	7c	8,006$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.39	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	8c	7,858$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.63	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca87…8e3dbacked Wizards	10c	6,597$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.91	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Wizards	15c	6,292$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.63	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-9.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a62…ab67backed Wizards	8c	6,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	8c	5,998$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.81	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	5,800$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	4c	5,613$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.89	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Wizards	9c	5,041$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.78	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Wizards	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	4,796$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Wizards	11c	4,553$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.7	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Wizards	8c	4,497$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.57	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Wizards	3c	4,425$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.36	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Wizards	2c	4,136$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.73	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Wizards	1c	4,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe017…1d4abacked Wizards	8c	3,995$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.58	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Wizards	11c	3,977$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.42	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards	7c	3,970$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.75	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards	1c	3,917$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards	0c	3,763$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	8c	3,600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	8c	3,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards	9c	3,486$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.47	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Wizards	4c	3,346$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.38	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Wizards	8c	3,305$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.49	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Wizards	8c	3,270$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.6	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	7c	3,050$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.48	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	9c	2,994$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.37	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Wizards	2c	2,806$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Wizards	8c	2,526$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.1	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Wizards	13c	2,344$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.74	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Wizards	8c	2,340$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.17	255	54.1%138 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf266…b2c4backed Wizards	4c	2,311$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.36	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Wizards	9c	2,211$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.02	667	44.5%297 W · 370 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Wizards	8c	2,193$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.44	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	8c	2,155$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.21	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0c…434bbacked Wizards	7c	2,072$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.07	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	8c	1,997$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.74	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Wizards	8c	1,995$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.56	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Wizards	8c	1,993$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.41	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards	8c	1,981$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.42	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Wizards	8c	1,979$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.3	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	6c	1,895$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.77	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8117…5f64backed Wizards	12c	1,759$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.12	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed Wizards	3c	1,733$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.77	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Wizards	8c	1,659$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.72	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	4c	1,651$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.65	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc62a…a8efbacked Wizards	1c	1,537$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	140	32.9%46 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Wizards	10c	1,492$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.19	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	5c	1,425$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.25	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Wizards	7c	1,423$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.61	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Wizards	9c	1,386$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.76	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wizards	11c	1,344$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.36	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Wizards	8c	1,284$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.11	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Wizards	8c	1,139$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.1	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Wizards	10c	1,113$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.34	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…dcf3backed Wizards	10c	1,105$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.55	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…73e5backed Wizards	5c	1,093$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards	1c	1,036$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards	5c	1,024$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.11	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Wizards	8c	1,006$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.44	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Wizards	12c	1,004$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.53	60	25%15 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Wizards	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards	8c	999.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Wizards	8c	999.97$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	539	39.5%213 W · 326 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Wizards	5c	997.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.86	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Wizards	10c	994.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9d…ed02backed Wizards	10c	994.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Wizards	10c	994.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Wizards	10c	994.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	49	6.1%3 W · 46 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-72%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Wizards	10c	994.36$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.41	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Wizards	9c	954.4$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.9	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Wizards	9c	950.86$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.58	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards	8c	945.79$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.66	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Wizards	9c	945.3$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.08	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards	7c	941$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.87	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Wizards	9c	886.95$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.83	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-7.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2bb…f8b9backed Wizards	9c	884.15$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.25	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	7c	833.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.08	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Lakersthis page
1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Lakers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event