NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e4ca5fc73fdc12353f7351166cafc678a83cf9265445b9a5c7ecec1fadbdef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,173,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,252,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,173,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 47c | 661,270$313,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347,320.3 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 52c | 294,235$153,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,002.42 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Wizards | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,500 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 52c | 141,461$74,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,181.86 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Wizards | 53c | 84,142$44,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,595.28 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 47c | 72,892$34,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,519.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 48c | 70,824$34,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,593.9 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Wizards | 54c | 70,301$37,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,955.14 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 52c | 26,998$13,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,963.21 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Wizards | 53c | 25,032$13,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,266.96 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 52c | 20,604$10,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,709.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d1…4c30backed Lakers | 48c | 11,697$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 52c | 10,657$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 48c | 10,465$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 8,151$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wizards | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 48c | 7,733$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.44 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 51c | 6,465$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Lakers | 48c | 6,156$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.33 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 49c | 6,062$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.23 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 52c | 5,988$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.75 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…d7d7backed Wizards | 52c | 5,114$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…afa7backed Lakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…3dfbbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 54c | 4,748$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.15 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd197…bf2ebacked Wizards | 52c | 4,736$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.03 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Lakers | 50c | 3,940$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 50c | 3,563$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wizards | 53c | 3,389$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.36 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,078$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.66 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 43c | 3,059$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Wizards | 55c | 3,048$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.75 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 53c | 2,822$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.76 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Lakers | 49c | 2,742$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…58e8backed Lakers | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 53c | 2,216$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.3 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Lakers | 48c | 2,177$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.3 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,049$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Lakers | 48c | 2,046$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.87 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,984$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.49 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Wizards | 51c | 1,819$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.77 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,650$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 45c | 1,518$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Lakers | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.36 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,423$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 29c | 1,165$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.91 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,069$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.61 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 51c | 992.39$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.12 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 53c | 985.05$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.08 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 52c | 924$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 47c | 906.43$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 49c | 858.03$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 25c | 804.44$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Lakers | 48c | 802.38$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Wizards | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 50c | 789.49$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Lakers | 49c | 765.36$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.45 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Wizards | 51c | 755.21$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.12 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wizards | 54c | 699.77$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Wizards | 52c | 689.52$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.55 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Lakers | 48c | 684.39$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Wizards | 58c | 676.65$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Wizards | 52c | 664.89$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.74 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…dcf3backed Wizards | 52c | 598.02$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Wizards | 54c | 595.78$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 33c | 548.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Wizards | 55c | 534.05$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards | 53c | 483.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 45c | 453.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards | 37c | 444.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.66 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Lakers | 47c | 419.17$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Lakers | 48c | 410.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Lakers | 48c | 410.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers | 48c | 405.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Lakers | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Lakers | 50c | 393.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Lakers | 52c | 378.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Lakers | 47c | 377.93$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Wizards | 53c | 371.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Wizards | 55c | 369.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Wizards | 55c | 358.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 49c | 355.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Wizards | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 51c | 279.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Wizards | 53c | 261.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Wizards | 59c | 248.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Lakers | 49c | 241.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Wizards | 36c | 225.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Wizards | 53c | 217.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Lakers | 46c | 214.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Lakers | 46c | 210.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Lakers | 47c | 209.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Lakers | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Lakers | 48c | 205.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Wizards vs. LakersLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.