NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d7366155e58bfaf39c8a4ae8088cd6f61a9cd95d52502044a21b811b1227448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 19,383$9,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,691.41 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 51c | 13,911$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.28 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Under | 50c | 13,909$6,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 53c | 9,613$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.67 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 8,184$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 6,347$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 5,772$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 5,428$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 64c | 4,397$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.15 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 48c | 4,158$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.87 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 4,009$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.48 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 52c | 2,490$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.27 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 2,181$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 1,694$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.2 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 52c | 1,478$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.22 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 26c | 1,307$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.93 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.85 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…048abacked Under | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.03 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 52c | 985.02$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.21 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 985.01$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.65 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 58c | 947.53$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.38 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 50c | 945.6$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.8 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 52c | 942.13$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.52 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Under | 53c | 929.3$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.77 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 747.1$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 50c | 649.37$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 64c | 636.36$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 612.59$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 603.06$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 560.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 20c | 536.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 531.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 491.25$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 42c | 457.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 405.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 47c | 396.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 389.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 383.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 366.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 331.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 324.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d10abacked Over | 49c | 286.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 284.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 53c | 236.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 49c | 210.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 49c | 204.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 47c | 198.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 51c | 193.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 190.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 53c | 186.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 18c | 182.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 42c | 171.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 49c | 166.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 48c | 162.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 14c | 126.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 49c | 125.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 56c | 116.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 52c | 115.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 57c | 111.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 111.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…f0fabacked Over | 19c | 107.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 14c | 101.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5b0fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 98.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 51c | 98.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 64c | 96.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 52c | 94.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 94.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 28c | 92.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -12.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 21c | 91.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 89.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 48c | 88.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 49c | 87.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 48c | 82.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 80.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 49c | 78.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 18c | 77.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 47c | 70.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 49c | 70.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…a7b0backed Under | 62c | 61.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…d8aabacked Over | 49c | 60.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Under | 52c | 56.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 47c | 54.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 51c | 53.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 66c | 51.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 49c | 50.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Wizards vs. LakersLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.