Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1436af9df102b1af4dc1958cb80dc3dc0a47c921df41d14abc8c5e105a7f5c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 954.39$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 37c | 692.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 64c | 351.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 62c | 243$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 213.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 156.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 63c | 124.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 57c | 120.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Under | 16c | 114.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 43c | 102.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 94.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d37cbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Over | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…b480backed Over | 65c | 73.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Over | 63c | 68.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 62c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 63c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 43c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 58c | 19.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 63c | 16.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.