Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd07f606d31c70633ade4f84898180520fa7984b1044aefc554f23c40366ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 16,625$6,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.26 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,186$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 68c | 427.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Over | 42c | 409.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 62c | 400.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 53c | 218$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Under | 55c | 184.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…6d61backed Over | 63c | 157.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 136.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 20c | 126.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 123.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 18c | 107.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 42c | 101$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 33c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 82.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 33c | 80.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd626…7e7dbacked Over | 62c | 72.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 27c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Under | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 45.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 44.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…c01fbacked Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 44c | 36.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 35.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 61c | 33.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d37cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 37c | 30.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 60c | 17.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.