Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99ab30b70b789efb795ac6e0f30dc0d2c38c45110f5ff84fac0d0dc340cb38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,092$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 36c | 1,008$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 815.41$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.5 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 69c | 717$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 63c | 644.85$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.26 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Over | 35c | 612.03$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 22c | 607.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Under | 19c | 527.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 65c | 509.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.49 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…f05dbacked Over | 37c | 470.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 59c | 434$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 36c | 419.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 411.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Under | 65c | 306.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Under | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 32c | 234.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 22c | 217.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 78c | 199.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 74c | 190$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 37c | 174.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebfb…f2b1backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 79c | 145.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 36c | 136.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 64c | 124$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f627backed Over | 36c | 107.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 66c | 102.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 66c | 102$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 37c | 90.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Over | 72c | 90.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c08…8bacbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 65c | 68.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 64.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 58.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 57c | 54.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 34c | 49.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Under | 25c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 26c | 47.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 45.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 42.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 78c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66c…ec99backed Over | 36c | 38.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 35c | 34.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 32.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9c…7d08backed Under | 65c | 31.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…445dbacked Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Under | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…0477backed Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.