Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc44f8fb91d892c7eeecb05d7bf56a35d2407b609456c64a51fa8498fabed07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 45c | 2,008$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.21 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed No | 56c | 1,558$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 44c | 799.82$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.47 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 746.84$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.15 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 55c | 546$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 479.48$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 44c | 382.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 356.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 45c | 296.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 233.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 47c | 214.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 145.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 41c | 123.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77d…8ce8backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 47c | 107.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 64c | 62.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 62c | 59.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 58.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 44c | 46.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 39c | 43.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 56c | 39.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed No | 58c | 38.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…b3c2backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 25.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 55c | 21.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 55c | 18.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.