TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20a1…a9af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2969%20 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,154.54
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.1%+$1,502.23
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$116.63
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$215.98
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.1%+$47.3
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.8%+$30.33
Lakers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Lakers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+57.7%+$98.08
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$45.29
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+65.8%+$39.45
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.3%+$32.53
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
Bruins vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.25
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$88.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.