NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1cbed25b7f793980ef3794aa13b825db38ac2ab01ad583460bdc56b3002c1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Trail Blazers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Wizards | 38c | 5,211$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.83 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 3,097$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,178$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.7 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 1,047$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.36 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Wizards | 35c | 620$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 599.77$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.85 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 34c | 244.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Wizards | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Wizards | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wizards | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 86.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wizards | 28c | 83.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Wizards | 34c | 78.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 60.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…0849backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 57.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Wizards | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Wizards | 46c | 54.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Trail Blazers | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…a395backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…bbabbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 30.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 22.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 20.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.