TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d4…1970backed Under53c15,557$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,311.9516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c13,314$6,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,228.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c7,416$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under53c6,767$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.4813239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over51c5,526$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under54c2,756$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.7618747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over47c2,495$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.471,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c2,136$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c1,794$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.1858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,788$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over32c1,415$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.031,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over42c1,313$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8131144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c1,222$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.712,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over47c1,143$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.3454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Under65c1,101$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.863357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over46c942$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over44c874.97$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c860.77$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.483,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over48c750.31$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4358951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36095651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over21c748.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over48c743.75$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35747354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c740$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under68c723.59$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c627.47$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c623.14$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.412,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over53c585$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.11,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under55c559.04$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.138344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c557.1$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Under55c540.69$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.793844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c500.92$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.43,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under52c499.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over47c495.06$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6819647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over22c494.25$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c491$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over48c478.37$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over28c467.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over47c429.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0913951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under52c416.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9963447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c412.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.972,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Over47c366$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.64533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over20c362$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.514636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over47c266.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.110048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over27c251$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4117243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under55c232.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7111752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Under55c227.77$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.546055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under54c213.06$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6310659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c204.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.315543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under55c202.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9211145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c201.38$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.732,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a17…5d26backed Over53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995149%25 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Under55c184.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.757060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over15c173.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6427463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under55c166.68$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.777846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under55c157.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.524341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under55c147.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.096055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under54c129$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3421749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under55c128.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2211755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.251,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Under53c120.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.883148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Under54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3712652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…94febacked Under55c115.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52f…db16backed Under55c111.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.913658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under53c111.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6122655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under54c109.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.275152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under54c107.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5912752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under52c107.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6917545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under55c102.22$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.479753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed Over51c97.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c96.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.752,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5921546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under55c87.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.918653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Under55c78.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.817650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under67c76.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under54c75.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.576346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.751,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over48c72.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7824332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.662,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e03…0c3ebacked Under53c70.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over28c64.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8754549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under54c64.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.536448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over25c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.517150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Over48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.248052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c62.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under55c62.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.234660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c61.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under52c59.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7543244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over48c58.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2838347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under74c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.