NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16adb87ae7efcd4799913909f97bb1cb161daf48afcefb3b33139ef9529ae8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Trail Blazers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.95 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Wizards | 48c | 28,300$13,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,633.23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 48c | 20,800$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 20,800$10,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,816 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 20,552$10,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,687 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards | 50c | 18,990$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,485.39 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 12,253$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.59 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…e062backed Wizards | 51c | 10,694$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 9,552$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.09 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,423$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 8,341$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 7,070$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.31 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 49c | 6,858$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Wizards | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Wizards | 49c | 6,116$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.96 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…7ac3backed Wizards | 48c | 5,256$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 5,069$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 49c | 4,649$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.98 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,632$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…c28fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,918$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 51c | 3,879$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,757$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,553$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Wizards | 49c | 3,467$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.1 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 48c | 3,294$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…07a2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,166$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…06a9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,044$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Wizards | 49c | 2,789$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.22 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…a0ecbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,766$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…4659backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…e246backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,334$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…da27backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,048$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…b4ffbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,934$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…cf86backed Wizards | 49c | 1,861$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wizards | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…a18bbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,420$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.79 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…b18dbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,367$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…a105backed Wizards | 49c | 1,245$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.54 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…0fabbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…d44dbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c9abbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,123$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,100$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…d593backed Wizards | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 48c | 1,096$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e5…3ebcbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…10dcbacked Wizards | 49c | 987$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…4670backed Wizards | 49c | 812$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…aa6abacked Wizards | 47c | 696$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…5493backed Wizards | 47c | 668$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…7713backed Wizards | 47c | 634$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dff…3039backed Wizards | 48c | 616$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…435fbacked Wizards | 47c | 601$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…8f31backed Wizards | 48c | 588$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 568.27$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…44abbacked Wizards | 47c | 567$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…1eabbacked Wizards | 48c | 554$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…c2d0backed Wizards | 47c | 534$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…63e9backed Wizards | 48c | 521$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…096ebacked Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 495$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.01 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…0ecabacked Wizards | 48c | 487$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 479.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…98abbacked Wizards | 47c | 467$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…db4dbacked Wizards | 48c | 454$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…5c92backed Wizards | 47c | 433$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…7297backed Wizards | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…16f5backed Wizards | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 390.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…7040backed Wizards | 48c | 387$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 365.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 353.49$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…937cbacked Wizards | 48c | 353$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…525ebacked Wizards | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Wizards | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 47c | 273.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 48c | 209.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Wizards | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 53c | 198.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 172.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Wizards | 47c | 128.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Wizards | 50c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Wizards | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Wizards | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.