NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839bc765752a7e197f1d6eb09f610dc74c6ae241d4707d6255bb4bd80c6317e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 6,060$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 26c | 3,190$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,399$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 51c | 2,348$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.31 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,340$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 52c | 2,265$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.86 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Over | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Under | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 52c | 1,848$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…865ebacked Under | 75c | 1,647$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 54c | 971.64$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.39 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 751.06$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 733.05$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 50c | 501.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 49c | 433.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 54c | 409.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Under | 47c | 377$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…7adfbacked Under | 48c | 363$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…b512backed Over | 51c | 361.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 350.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…390bbacked Over | 53c | 313.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 52c | 234.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 106.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa13e…ce20backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 92.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Under | 48c | 56.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 31.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…7b0bbacked Over | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.