TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d10…e270backed Under49c57,607$28,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,285.965139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,399.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c15,269$7,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,776.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c8,610$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over53c7,062$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.9819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c6,938$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea9…6c85backed Over49c6,377$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a3…a67ebacked Under51c4,977$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Under53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e5…3ebcbacked Over49c4,252$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8c…da27backed Under51c4,252$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd755…3ad3backed Under51c4,166$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa96…072ebacked Under51c3,966$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…2aa9backed Under51c3,964$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,955$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c3,954$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.542,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c5…b18dbacked Under51c3,948$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa853…8935backed Under51c3,944$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4624…e15abacked Under51c3,940$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee7…069dbacked Under51c3,213$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c49…4678backed Under51c3,212$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e9…fc94backed Under51c3,205$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e2…1362backed Under51c3,168$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…10dcbacked Under51c3,159$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b61…0fabbacked Under51c2,806$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ba…d593backed Over49c2,806$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,806$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over49c2,449$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa14…4fb4backed Under51c2,377$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de8…f246backed Under51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…4659backed Under51c2,164$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e9…d44dbacked Over49c2,164$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0292142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8640…93a3backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0291533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98a9…676ebacked Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0292560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc782…70eabacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0291850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0292466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x845b…9041backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0291844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,012$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under49c1,804$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.0419647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8843…c7adbacked Under51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…fe21backed Over49c1,487$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5faa…c2abbacked Over49c1,479$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc086…a18bbacked Over49c1,472$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe381…b53bbacked Over49c1,463$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e62…6686backed Over49c1,453$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e1…cbc2backed Over49c1,448$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5342…a870backed Over49c1,374$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3a…8ebbbacked Over49c1,358$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61cb…7198backed Over49c1,348$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c2…e209backed Over49c1,339$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9917…6e80backed Over49c1,328$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7260%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9a2…c28fbacked Over49c1,320$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c1,310$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8780…e5e9backed Over49c1,284$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.1640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec5…a105backed Over49c1,280$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa3…6d59backed Over49c1,275$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.7550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under49c1,265$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.3117454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4964…bf8ebacked Over49c1,258$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6190…c70fbacked Over49c1,250$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a2…0159backed Over49c1,243$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb498…b772backed Over49c1,176$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c9abbacked Over49c1,156$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x130f…bae0backed Over49c1,142$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb204…1af2backed Over49c1,140$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f9f…64f7backed Over49c1,137$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfc…7d69backed Over49c1,119$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,108$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f8…aff4backed Over49c1,076$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c97…3c8cbacked Over49c1,075$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b7…42e8backed Over49c1,067$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee55…0c46backed Over49c1,059$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff70…ff48backed Over49c1,037$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0a…4670backed Over49c1,034$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb5…87debacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5786…bbb3backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…3b45backed Over49c902$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe868…885bbacked Over49c879$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c869.84$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.922,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad92…0927backed Over49c856$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…e792backed Over49c854$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4622…8b17backed Over49c849$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a98…06a9backed Over49c845$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over50c709$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Over50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c588.3$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over11c500.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.071,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under49c469.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3916945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over25c467.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c436$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c416.92$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.