NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c984f35a358c91421b055ffd1cd022426a097c7b662f7e90026f4c97fcf6324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Trail Blazers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 90,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,499.99 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 52c | 74,467$38,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,486 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 53c | 67,024$35,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,501.09 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards | 55c | 63,636$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,636.36 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 51,777$24,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,885.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 48,236$22,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,558.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Wizards | 54c | 26,151$14,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,029.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 20,864$9,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,806 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 16,417$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.99 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 16,000$7,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.92 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Wizards | 55c | 15,778$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.1 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 53c | 15,049$7,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.91 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 12,494$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 12,369$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards | 51c | 11,655$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.27 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Wizards | 52c | 7,435$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.03 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…db25backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,818$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbf…98bbbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,616$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead4…143dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,565$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Wizards | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf217…f984backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,467$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…403abacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,428$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…5f08backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,420$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…c0e3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,396$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…84cbbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,285$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Wizards | 55c | 6,056$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Wizards | 55c | 5,818$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.18 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8b17backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,600$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cb…7198backed Wizards | 52c | 5,300$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,891$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.69 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 54c | 4,746$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 53c | 4,718$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 4,657$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,500$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,323$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,065$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.62 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…c2abbacked Wizards | 52c | 4,006$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…7d69backed Wizards | 52c | 3,946$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,606$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.85 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…0003backed Wizards | 52c | 3,606$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…c466backed Wizards | 52c | 3,606$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…a49abacked Wizards | 52c | 3,525$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.88 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd792…6bb9backed Wizards | 52c | 3,455$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…40f3backed Wizards | 52c | 3,322$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…e062backed Wizards | 55c | 3,238$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…ad43backed Wizards | 52c | 3,237$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…9750backed Wizards | 52c | 3,225$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…457bbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,221$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…e46bbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,217$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…c70fbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,172$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…42e8backed Wizards | 52c | 3,169$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…67e0backed Wizards | 52c | 3,149$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…7d27backed Wizards | 52c | 3,144$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe806…2562backed Wizards | 52c | 3,123$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,120$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.51 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…89abbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,098$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…38b9backed Wizards | 52c | 3,044$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…60abbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,025$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…937cbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,016$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…b245backed Wizards | 52c | 2,998$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,927$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…bbb3backed Wizards | 52c | 2,850$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…5c92backed Wizards | 51c | 2,666$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 52c | 2,618$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.54 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,585$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.01 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…3ad3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,550$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…d593backed Wizards | 53c | 2,550$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e5…3ebcbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,450$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…525ebacked Wizards | 52c | 2,185$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…9120backed Wizards | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…388cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Wizards | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…265bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,971$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,885$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.95 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 52c | 1,862$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,853$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.71 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…16f5backed Wizards | 51c | 1,834$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Wizards | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wizards | 55c | 1,655$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.75 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,615$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Wizards | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…6e80backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,469$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…b53bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,432$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,395$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.12 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…64f7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,385$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…8ebbbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,336$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…d44dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…4678backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,296$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…fc94backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,293$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.