NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9987cae1a70760170f70b14b1264bcace5e3b917a98b4f3e842ec52395bc409

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Wizardsof Trail Blazers, Wizards
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,282 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac3c…d637backed Trail Blazers	44c	21,700$9,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,511	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x484a…faf1backed Wizards	56c	21,700$12,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,511	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee55…0c46backed Trail Blazers	44c	5,800$2,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,552	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e62…6686backed Wizards	56c	4,666$2,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,053.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb498…b772backed Wizards	56c	4,444$2,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,955.36	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards	58c	4,312$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.97	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3a…8ebbbacked Wizards	56c	3,999$2,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,759.56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers	48c	3,846$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,846.16	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	52c	3,808$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,827.85	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4964…bf8ebacked Trail Blazers	44c	3,310$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833b…7297backed Wizards	56c	3,266$1,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,437.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…6e92backed Trail Blazers	44c	3,232$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,422.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebbb…3309backed Wizards	56c	3,232$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe868…885bbacked Wizards	56c	3,111$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.84	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95c…096ebacked Wizards	56c	2,916$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e9…d44dbacked Wizards	57c	2,800$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,204	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b61…0fabbacked Wizards	57c	2,700$1,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7574…7040backed Wizards	56c	2,434$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Trail Blazers	43c	2,229$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.57	163	35.6%58 W · 105 L	-12.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c9abbacked Wizards	56c	2,150$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0a…4670backed Trail Blazers	44c	2,150$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceef…98abbacked Wizards	56c	2,084$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers	43c	1,720$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.41	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe381…b53bbacked Trail Blazers	44c	1,489$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bfc…7d69backed Trail Blazers	44c	1,402$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…4659backed Trail Blazers	43c	1,400$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e5…3ebcbacked Trail Blazers	43c	1,400$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ba…d593backed Trail Blazers	43c	1,400$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef8c…da27backed Trail Blazers	43c	1,300$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e9…fc94backed Trail Blazers	44c	1,236$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.84	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4624…e15abacked Trail Blazers	44c	1,108$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f8…aff4backed Trail Blazers	44c	1,012$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…c70fbacked Trail Blazers	44c	863$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers	42c	860.79$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.81	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Wizards	57c	833.44$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.44	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	57c	769.64$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.06	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Trail Blazers	43c	753$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.79	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dff…3039backed Trail Blazers	44c	716$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.04	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd606…8f31backed Trail Blazers	44c	688$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Trail Blazers	44c	683$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.38	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4b7…1eabbacked Trail Blazers	44c	654$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…aa6abacked Trail Blazers	44c	646$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.24	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers	42c	629.27$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.6	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4af1…63e9backed Trail Blazers	44c	621$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.24	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ef…5493backed Trail Blazers	44c	618$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.92	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f1…0ecabacked Trail Blazers	44c	587$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ce…7713backed Trail Blazers	44c	584$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Trail Blazers	6c	567.43$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad0…db4dbacked Trail Blazers	44c	554$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…435fbacked Trail Blazers	44c	551$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd41…937cbacked Trail Blazers	44c	520$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bb…c2d0backed Trail Blazers	44c	517$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b42…525ebacked Trail Blazers	44c	487$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ed…44abbacked Trail Blazers	44c	484$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Trail Blazers	43c	465.1$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa826…a0ecbacked Trail Blazers	44c	453$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x887c…07a2backed Trail Blazers	44c	450$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Wizards	57c	450$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.5	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b10…b4ffbacked Trail Blazers	44c	420$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a4e…e246backed Trail Blazers	44c	417$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.48	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8550…5c92backed Trail Blazers	44c	383$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers	44c	366$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.04	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Wizards	57c	351.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.6	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849a…16f5backed Trail Blazers	44c	350$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Trail Blazers	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Wizards	57c	264.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.99	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers	40c	219.95$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.91	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Trail Blazers	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Wizards	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers	43c	139.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers	42c	134.54$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers	41c	109.9$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Trail Blazers	17c	96.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Wizards	55c	90.87$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.89	183	39.3%72 W · 111 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x532a…bfefbacked Trail Blazers	46c	78.04$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Trail Blazers	45c	63.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.53	177	50.8%90 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Trail Blazers	51c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Trail Blazers	44c	58.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Wizards	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-21.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Wizards	48c	44.37$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.07	119	26.1%31 W · 88 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Trail Blazers	52c	44.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.07	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Wizards	57c	44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Trail Blazers	27c	42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Trail Blazers	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Wizards	53c	39.61$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	163	54%88 W · 75 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Trail Blazers	29c	39.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Wizards	56c	37.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+6.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Trail Blazers	43c	37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Trail Blazers	39c	36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Wizards	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	99	62.6%62 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Trail Blazers	42c	33.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Wizards	54c	32.18$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Trail Blazers	43c	30.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Wizards	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Wizards	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked Wizards	59c	27.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.12	27	81.5%22 W · 5 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	65cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers	48c	26.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.79	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Wizards	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	157	58%91 W · 66 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd485…871fbacked Trail Blazers	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Wizards won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5No won
Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Shaedon Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Wizards won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Wizards won
Toumani Camara: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Trail Blazers vs. WizardsWizards won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event