NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08594f4ad3e2afd9f05b5540d1966f2056fabb2346c455bcde1b6728d5f22f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 46c | 14,400$6,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.88 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…db4fbacked Over | 44c | 7,220$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…8ad1backed Over | 44c | 7,044$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…cbd4backed Over | 44c | 6,616$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…e76bbacked Over | 44c | 6,603$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…a1bfbacked Over | 44c | 6,399$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…6aa0backed Over | 44c | 6,335$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…c9cfbacked Over | 44c | 6,218$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…63e9backed Under | 55c | 6,158$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…0ecabacked Over | 45c | 6,158$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…4159backed Over | 44c | 6,117$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dff…3039backed Over | 45c | 5,708$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…8f31backed Under | 55c | 5,708$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…db4dbacked Under | 55c | 5,616$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…525ebacked Over | 45c | 5,616$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 5,615$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…ab82backed Over | 44c | 5,346$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…5493backed Over | 46c | 5,298$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…44abbacked Under | 54c | 5,298$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…98abbacked Over | 46c | 5,230$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…aa6abacked Under | 54c | 5,225$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…ee83backed Over | 44c | 5,122$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…5c92backed Over | 46c | 4,987$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…87debacked Under | 56c | 4,981$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…435fbacked Under | 54c | 4,892$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68c…3ed2backed Over | 44c | 4,799$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…096ebacked Over | 46c | 4,762$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…c2d0backed Under | 54c | 4,762$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…7040backed Under | 55c | 4,670$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…a0ecbacked Over | 45c | 4,670$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…1eabbacked Under | 55c | 4,664$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…7297backed Over | 45c | 4,664$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…7713backed Under | 54c | 4,184$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…07a2backed Over | 46c | 4,184$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…bbb3backed Under | 56c | 4,167$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…64f7backed Under | 56c | 4,010$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…a18bbacked Under | 55c | 3,974$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…e209backed Under | 56c | 3,974$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…16f5backed Under | 54c | 3,924$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…e246backed Over | 46c | 3,924$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…9a17backed Under | 56c | 3,852$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…19d2backed Under | 56c | 3,525$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…f789backed Under | 56c | 3,523$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…da6ebacked Under | 56c | 3,516$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…0be4backed Under | 56c | 3,488$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…259bbacked Under | 56c | 3,417$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…14d9backed Under | 56c | 3,411$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…a21dbacked Under | 56c | 3,399$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…52fdbacked Under | 56c | 3,236$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…ee1dbacked Under | 56c | 3,232$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…ec95backed Under | 56c | 3,223$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…e792backed Under | 56c | 3,166$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…3b45backed Under | 56c | 3,153$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…29babacked Under | 56c | 3,152$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…4670backed Under | 55c | 3,152$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1576…d1d5backed Under | 56c | 3,120$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…780fbacked Under | 56c | 3,113$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb0…9fe4backed Under | 56c | 3,109$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…7445backed Under | 56c | 3,066$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…937cbacked Under | 55c | 3,054$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…b4ffbacked Over | 45c | 3,054$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…0c9dbacked Under | 56c | 3,022$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…b2cdbacked Under | 56c | 2,901$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…a49abacked Over | 44c | 2,744$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 55c | 2,723$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…df84backed Under | 56c | 2,710$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd792…6bb9backed Over | 44c | 2,667$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…40f3backed Over | 44c | 2,626$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe806…2562backed Over | 44c | 2,515$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…89abbacked Over | 44c | 2,335$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 1,880$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.92 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…c466backed Over | 44c | 1,789$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…457bbacked Under | 56c | 1,688$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…ad43backed Over | 44c | 1,677$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…3309backed Over | 44c | 1,588$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…6e92backed Under | 56c | 1,588$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…b245backed Under | 56c | 1,533$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd567…9adbbacked Under | 56c | 1,477$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…c2abbacked Over | 44c | 1,456$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c9abbacked Over | 45c | 1,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…b772backed Over | 44c | 1,447$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…fe21backed Over | 44c | 1,437$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…60abbacked Under | 56c | 1,424$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…e46bbacked Under | 56c | 1,414$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…c28fbacked Over | 45c | 1,389$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…a67ebacked Over | 44c | 1,370$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…8935backed Over | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…072ebacked Over | 44c | 1,352$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…7d27backed Under | 56c | 1,313$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf217…f984backed Under | 56c | 1,313$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…e5e9backed Over | 44c | 1,272$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8b17backed Over | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…10dcbacked Over | 45c | 1,267$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…0159backed Over | 44c | 1,260$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,249$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…9750backed Under | 56c | 1,225$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…911abacked Under | 56c | 1,211$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…30f0backed Under | 56c | 1,201$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…6e80backed Over | 44c | 1,194$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Robert Williams III: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.