TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under55c116,940$64,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,247.3940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over44c52,472$23,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,261.395534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over45c40,908$18,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,493.7439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c32,479$14,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,891.252,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c20,000$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,699.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under55c18,259$10,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,122.4829055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under56c18,241$10,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,214.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Over50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0005648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over45c13,296$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,312.569952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under57c12,552$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,100.4334654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c10,485$4,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,685.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba5…d195backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under56c9,974$5,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,585.251,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over45c6,485$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.411,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over45c6,333$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.3314346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9945348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c5,014$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c4,086$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,616$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.534,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c2,538$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over46c2,450$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.1218241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Under28c2,382$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.044440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c2,057$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c1,795$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c1,546$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.5385147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under56c1,524$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.442,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c1,445$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over45c1,350$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over45c1,350$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over46c1,307$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.8147354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,300$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over75c1,281$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.082,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,017$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.022,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c978.26$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.042,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…a7bfbacked Under55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over45c820$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45119350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3325951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over72c814.68$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.113,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c787.76$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over45c711.11$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1116945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under52c601.25$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over61c591.02$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.033,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over46c565.22$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2213951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over44c550$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30819647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over45c544.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over66c543.98$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd689…add6backed Under28c505.73$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.472572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under49c469.46$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0312547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Under49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over68c442.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9921642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Under56c427.3$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2911444.7%51 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over51c416.34$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0119958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c371.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over45c352.59$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9210953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16518043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c291.48$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.263,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3818852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…9ff7backed Under49c224.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under49c170.65$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6235747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c165.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over43c156.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over72c156$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.684755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over62c126.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8254549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under49c118.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3816347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over72c110.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8127247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974e…c090backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Over75c101$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.253933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over56c100.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5065855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562540%10 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under49c94.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1912143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under49c91.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.513945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea4…2effbacked Under21c89.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c80.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.681,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c80.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Over51c78.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.467047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.