TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42b4…997cbacked Under52c5,865$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c4,999$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.381,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23c…4817backed Over48c4,889$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdd…f92abacked Under52c4,701$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf126…a8e9backed Over48c4,605$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb0…a7ddbacked Over48c4,566$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4976…9568backed Over48c4,525$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9456…b3d6backed Over48c4,488$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc57…a892backed Under52c4,412$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…c913backed Under52c4,412$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…a694backed Under52c4,315$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e5…5a5ebacked Over48c4,311$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5b…76f6backed Under52c4,310$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e02…7621backed Under52c4,227$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…ca09backed Over48c4,215$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x798a…483fbacked Under52c4,111$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…6566backed Under52c4,101$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ca…34bfbacked Over48c4,044$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f16…1849backed Under52c4,016$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06bc…d7e6backed Under52c4,013$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1724…dd72backed Over48c4,011$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe434…15a6backed Under52c3,879$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2d…1464backed Under52c3,822$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x062b…8155backed Under52c3,814$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f5…32dabacked Over48c3,811$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…eec3backed Over48c3,771$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x285e…3c9abacked Under52c3,750$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639d…1c61backed Under52c3,722$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a7…6793backed Under52c3,712$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1b…2ab9backed Over48c3,666$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8af…136cbacked Over48c3,603$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0451…cc59backed Under52c3,545$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…3f3abacked Over48c3,515$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…f29bbacked Under52c3,512$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd11…d41dbacked Under52c3,503$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ac…6085backed Under52c3,503$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2408…3df1backed Over48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe35…2497backed Over48c3,498$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…a6d3backed Under52c3,470$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab1…cd87backed Over48c3,455$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37e…b1febacked Over48c3,455$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38a…bc03backed Over48c3,455$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc455…521abacked Under52c3,431$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d0…fefcbacked Over48c3,421$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca7…0f98backed Under52c3,402$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a5…02bfbacked Over48c3,400$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078b…76a8backed Under52c3,316$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7204…bdaebacked Under52c3,300$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab79…2ab9backed Under52c3,254$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…0a60backed Over48c3,233$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…96d7backed Over48c3,211$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b9…1131backed Over48c3,202$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9863backed Under52c3,144$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…7b46backed Over48c3,102$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860f…8bf1backed Over48c3,099$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e9…670dbacked Under52c3,023$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x800d…4736backed Under52c3,022$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5005…dfd4backed Over48c3,011$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa741…1f1ebacked Under52c2,966$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb789…34c7backed Over48c2,906$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…3087backed Over48c2,846$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf189…eea4backed Over48c2,752$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a7…eb80backed Under52c2,700$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…4681backed Over48c2,620$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2834…c145backed Under51c2,527$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769d…9ca9backed Over48c2,515$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3755547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c2,468$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc42…adb6backed Over48c2,445$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe383…05b8backed Under52c2,422$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb945…80c1backed Under52c2,416$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa2…91e1backed Over48c2,412$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35a7…3ca0backed Over48c2,363$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd438…3df7backed Over48c2,354$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4da…f6acbacked Under52c2,350$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa202…6a7fbacked Over49c2,345$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…52d2backed Under52c2,323$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…900dbacked Over48c2,300$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0808…5924backed Over48c2,298$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc80e…55d1backed Under52c2,289$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…a696backed Under52c2,266$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355a…38febacked Under52c2,231$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b13…d3dabacked Over48c2,155$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c3…fa2bbacked Over48c2,125$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…b916backed Over49c2,121$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.714100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d2c…684abacked Over48c2,121$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246b…e820backed Under52c2,081$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9232…c289backed Under52c2,066$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…fcffbacked Under52c2,042$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afa…f211backed Over48c2,011$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5173…a2adbacked Under52c2,002$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed9…b018backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ba…d55bbacked Over48c1,992$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf900…0bb6backed Over48c1,929$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b0…5660backed Under52c1,926$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf324…ab1abacked Under51c1,899$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f7f…5543backed Under52c1,889$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2a…5691backed Over48c1,865$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5846…5dfcbacked Under52c1,828$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…c09cbacked Under52c1,727$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.