Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4b2cb90b895dca54641f9745ade92d7f835f18b9a52bed6200d8e0d3e46e54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 60c | 2,332$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.48 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,031$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.76 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 828.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 62c | 675.46$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 671.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.49 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 497$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 413.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 41c | 298.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 63c | 297.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 59c | 202$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 199.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Yes | 61c | 196.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 63c | 84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 62c | 83.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 65.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 40c | 60.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 57.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 59c | 56.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…2468backed No | 40c | 50.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 48.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 46.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…570cbacked No | 40c | 42.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…7e09backed Yes | 61c | 35.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…2cd1backed Yes | 61c | 31.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…73d2backed Yes | 61c | 29.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 27.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.