Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f173baeb083c3a0123cab43653f410cd01e9400ca784de170096f29e00caf36

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	37c	15,521$5,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,705.15	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,799.99	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	38c	4,211$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under	38c	1,878$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.6wins	-0.33per pick	51cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under	38c	1,579$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	38c	1,371$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.68	594	41.8%248 W · 346 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	18c	942$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.56	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	71c	939.9$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.32	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	62c	800$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304	144	47.2%68 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	38c	700.63$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.24	264	45.8%121 W · 143 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	63c	499.97$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.64	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	37c	489.29$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.04	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	62c	450$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	62c	450$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	62c	449.99$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	383	56.7%217 W · 166 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	440.86$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.8	394	43.1%170 W · 224 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	52c	434.93$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.01	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	37c	403.65$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	139	31.7%44 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	62c	400$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	62c	399.99$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	156	57.1%89 W · 67 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	62c	360$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.8	178	55.6%99 W · 79 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	62c	350$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	127	48%61 W · 66 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+15.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under	38c	278.74$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.92	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	38c	263.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	62c	250$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	469	56.5%265 W · 204 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	187	54.5%102 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	62c	190$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.2	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	62c	170$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	62c	164$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.11	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	62c	160$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.8	156	51.3%80 W · 76 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	142	47.2%67 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	117	47%55 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	37c	97.75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	338	51.5%174 W · 164 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over	64c	83.93$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.44	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	62c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.4	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over	62c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.4	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Under	38c	79.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	39c	78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.41	631	50.2%317 W · 314 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	62c	70$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Under	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	42cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a88…832dbacked Over	63c	63.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over	64c	62.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	151	53%80 W · 71 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over	63c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	206	67.5%139 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+7.6wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacb0…f162backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	71c	33.25$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over	56c	26.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	74c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.44	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	61c	23.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over	64c	23.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-7.2wins	-0.19per pick	60cpaid	-32%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Over	64c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	60c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca9…37d1backed Over	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over	63c	19.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.06	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	73c	18.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.13	223	56.1%125 W · 98 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5this page
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event