NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ffdefcd44efed585350b6b0d6edb2433dd1e47358984baf2c7dbc11d9796a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,646,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,795,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,646,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 71c | 440,000$311,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311,599.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 28c | 425,344$120,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304,868.58 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 370,700$106,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264,319.29 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 356,862$99,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,940.31 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 343,970$96,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247,669.13 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 24c | 322,837$76,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,714.53 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves | 72c | 195,174$140,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,525.33 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 72c | 150,000$108,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,999.83 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 100,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 13c | 92,784$12,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,087.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Timberwolves | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,700 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Grizzlies | 53c | 68,521$36,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,493.9 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 47,367$21,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,400.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…5677backed Grizzlies | 31c | 47,200$14,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,464.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…5157backed Timberwolves | 69c | 47,170$32,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,443.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Timberwolves | 69c | 43,077$29,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,770.88 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 42,510$13,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,331.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 41,932$30,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,191.08 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 41,096$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 70c | 39,810$27,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,866.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 71c | 38,814$27,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,375.78 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 38,706$26,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,706.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Grizzlies | 29c | 38,457$11,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,171.53 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 56c | 35,857$19,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,908.79 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Timberwolves | 69c | 35,801$24,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,647.21 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 35,000$24,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,049.9 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…6056backed Timberwolves | 73c | 34,590$25,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,210 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Timberwolves | 3c | 33,341$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.44 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Timberwolves | 52c | 32,073$16,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,792.87 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 32,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.98 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…79fbbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 30,438$24,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.30per pick | 76cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Grizzlies | 31c | 30,011$9,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,707.54 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 27,834$19,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,495.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 73c | 24,534$17,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,802.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Timberwolves | 62c | 23,170$14,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,325.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 21,750$15,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,007.68 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 20,881$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.2 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Grizzlies | 41c | 20,588$8,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,147.78 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 20,537$14,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,581.2 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 49c | 20,121$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,258.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.99 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 19,044$10,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,042.27 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 2c | 18,841$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 18,659$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,088.08 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 18,519$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,338.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…5394backed Grizzlies | 79c | 17,607$13,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Timberwolves | 72c | 17,401$12,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,527 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Grizzlies | 27c | 17,010$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,417.29 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Timberwolves | 73c | 16,459$12,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,014.78 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 15,684$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,292.48 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 67c | 15,407$10,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,348.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,950 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 71c | 14,319$10,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,152.44 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Timberwolves | 54c | 13,323$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.46 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Grizzlies | 80c | 13,269$10,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.56 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Timberwolves | 17c | 13,086$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.31 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Grizzlies | 32c | 13,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.96 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 2c | 12,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 11,782$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,353.8 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 11,365$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780.37 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…ae18backed Timberwolves | 4c | 11,218$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 11,078$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449a…a3c8backed Grizzlies | 34c | 11,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 11,000$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 10,723$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.29 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Grizzlies | 31c | 10,286$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.34 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Timberwolves | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…5106backed Grizzlies | 31c | 9,790$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 54c | 9,599$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.85 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Grizzlies | 78c | 9,192$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.09 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 9,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f35…5016backed Timberwolves | 72c | 8,862$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,382.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…3e03backed Timberwolves | 59c | 8,670$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 23c | 8,059$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.17 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Grizzlies | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.94 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Timberwolves | 39c | 7,715$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves | 68c | 7,688$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.61 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 7,339$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.44 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Timberwolves | 35c | 7,292$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.99 | 168 | 64.3%108 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves | 71c | 7,167$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.57 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 7,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,964$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies | 49c | 6,761$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.8 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 6,708$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.61 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…6dbfbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 6,668$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 55c | 6,430$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.51 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 6,307$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.2 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Timberwolves | 68c | 6,238$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.58 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Grizzlies | 33c | 6,238$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.21 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Timberwolves | 73c | 6,200$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 6,049$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.02 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,023$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 5,729$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.