NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2aa8780cfaabccd064c4e572d5867d335ca28a1524d548eb02887bdca17079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 11,654$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…7ac4backed Over | 52c | 9,389$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…d420backed Under | 48c | 9,364$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 45c | 7,854$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.3 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…d721backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…7914backed Under | 50c | 2,922$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…21e6backed Under | 50c | 2,864$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…5d0dbacked Under | 50c | 2,805$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…d24fbacked Over | 50c | 2,756$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e18…32a7backed Over | 50c | 2,722$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…14f1backed Over | 50c | 2,715$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5477…ed0cbacked Over | 50c | 2,711$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d20…ec23backed Under | 50c | 2,611$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…7899backed Under | 50c | 2,607$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…5357backed Under | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…ece2backed Over | 50c | 2,455$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 1,141$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Under | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 50c | 598.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 545.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 45c | 432$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Under | 51c | 327.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…0a1abacked Over | 53c | 284.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 266.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…6374backed Under | 48c | 254$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 239.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Over | 50c | 222.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…ff0fbacked Over | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 198.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 172.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 44c | 172.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 167$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 156.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Over | 50c | 151.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 55c | 140.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 115.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…9d81backed Under | 51c | 100.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 68.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 54c | 56.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 51c | 37.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Over | 55c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…d23fbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Under | 50c | 31.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 52c | 28.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 51c | 27.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 50c | 25.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 55c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…3918backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.