NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14cf0e5ec0521fc8eb5591853368741f91463778bf6c14cf91c3bb57b573f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 77,000$40,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,189.87 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 31,268$14,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,696.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 19,355$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 11,130$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.1 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,143$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.81 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,800$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,383$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,349$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.31 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,116$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,871$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.62 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,081$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.07 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,790$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.29 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,567$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.93 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,122$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 801.47$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.69 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 55c | 772.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 754.48$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Timberwolves | 47c | 721.28$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 52c | 674.15$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.59 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Timberwolves | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 57c | 408.7$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 286.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 274.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 273.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 235.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 50c | 224.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Timberwolves | 47c | 218.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Timberwolves | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Timberwolves | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 155.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 111.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Grizzlies | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 107.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 96.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Grizzlies | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…46cebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…df55backed Timberwolves | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Timberwolves | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 71.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 47c | 66.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Timberwolves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 48c | 60.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 23c | 60.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…15b7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 55.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 50c | 54.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Timberwolves | 47c | 53.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies | 56c | 53.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Timberwolves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Timberwolves | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Timberwolves | 47c | 46.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 46.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 33.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Timberwolves | 47c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Timberwolves | 47c | 28.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 27.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Timberwolves | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Timberwolves | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 25.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…655abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Timberwolves | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…ba86backed Timberwolves | 55c | 18.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed Grizzlies | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.