TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies53c77,000$40,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,189.8740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves47c31,268$14,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,696.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves48c19,355$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves47c11,130$5,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves47c9,143$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.812,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Grizzlies53c4,800$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25612056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Grizzlies53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Grizzlies53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.983348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves47c3,383$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59031644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Timberwolves50c3,349$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.3126546%122 W · 143 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves47c3,116$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies50c2,871$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.621,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Timberwolves47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17519147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves47c2,081$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.071,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves47c1,790$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.2939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves48c1,567$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies45c1,504$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.9357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves47c1,122$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Timberwolves47c801.47$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.693339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies55c772.98$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves48c754.48$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.341,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Timberwolves47c721.28$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33922945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies52c674.15$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.591,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Timberwolves48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Timberwolves47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies57c408.7$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.743,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Timberwolves47c286.59$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Timberwolves48c274.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Timberwolves47c273.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves47c235.29$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies50c224.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.283,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Timberwolves47c218.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Timberwolves48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Timberwolves55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Grizzlies53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9416740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Timberwolves55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Timberwolves48c155.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9436450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Timberwolves47c111.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Grizzlies46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.727359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Timberwolves55c107.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5945651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Timberwolves47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.420149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Timberwolves47c96.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4511748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Grizzlies54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7841048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450c…46cebacked Timberwolves55c87.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47df…df55backed Timberwolves47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Timberwolves47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.641251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies49c71.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves47c66.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Timberwolves47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Timberwolves49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves48c60.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.131,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves23c60.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Timberwolves55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ea…15b7backed Timberwolves47c55.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies50c54.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.343,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Timberwolves47c53.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.357356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies56c53.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…9051backed Timberwolves47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Timberwolves47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Grizzlies49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9917949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Timberwolves47c46.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0316443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Timberwolves47c46.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0315040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Timberwolves47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Timberwolves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Timberwolves49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Timberwolves47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4520448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Timberwolves47c33.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8125143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Timberwolves47c33.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.767255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Timberwolves47c31.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Timberwolves47c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6935049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Timberwolves47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.124442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Timberwolves47c28.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Grizzlies54c27.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7416343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Timberwolves55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Timberwolves55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Timberwolves47c25.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0645460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies53c24.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd5…655abacked Timberwolves47c21.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Timberwolves50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105869%40 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Timberwolves53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.619346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe886…ba86backed Timberwolves55c18.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed Grizzlies77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.451181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.